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International Trade pact

India-US Trade Pact and Russian Oil Shift

Analysis based on 7 articles · First reported Feb 07, 2026 · Last updated Feb 09, 2026

Sentiment
20
Attention
4
Articles
7
Market Impact
Direct
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The markets are impacted by the potential trade pact between India and the United States, which could lead to lower tariffs and increased economic cooperation. The shift in India's oil procurement away from Russia will affect global crude oil markets and the revenues of Russia.

Oil and gas Refining International trade

India and the United States are progressing towards a trade pact, with a framework announced to lower tariffs and deepen economic cooperation. This development is linked to India's decision to reduce its purchases of Russian crude oil, a move that President Donald Trump cited as a reason for rescinding 25% tariffs on Indian goods. Indian refiners, including Indian Oil Corporation, Bharat Petroleum, and Reliance Industries, are reportedly avoiding new Russian oil purchases for April delivery. While India has not officially announced a halt to Russian oil imports, its refiners are scaling back, increasing purchases from other regions. Nayara Energy, a Russia-backed refiner, also plans no Russian crude imports in April due to maintenance. This shift is significant as India became a top buyer of discounted Russian seaborne crude after Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

90 India moved closer to a trade pact United States
80 Indian Oil Corporation avoiding Russian oil purchases Russia
80 Bharat Petroleum avoiding Russian oil purchases Russia
80 Reliance Industries avoiding Russian oil purchases Russia
70 Donald Trump rescinded 25% tariffs on Indian goods India
50 Nayara Energy plans no Russian crude imports in April Russia
cnt
India is moving closer to a trade pact with the United States, which could lead to lower tariffs and deeper economic cooperation. This is expected to positively impact India's economy and trade relations, despite potential shifts in its oil procurement strategy.
Importance 100 Sentiment 20
cnt
The United States is moving closer to a trade pact with India, which could lower tariffs and deepen economic cooperation. President Donald Trump rescinded tariffs on Indian goods, contingent on India's commitment to halt Russian oil imports.
Importance 100 Sentiment 20
cnt
Russia faces a potential reduction in oil exports to India, a major buyer of its discounted crude since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. This shift by Indian refiners could further impact Russia's oil revenue, already targeted by Western sanctions.
Importance 80 Sentiment -30
cmdt
The global crude oil market is impacted by India's decision to reduce Russian oil imports, leading to increased purchases from Middle Eastern, African, and South American countries. This shift affects supply and demand dynamics for various crude grades.
Importance 80 Sentiment 0
stock
Indian Oil Corporation is among the Indian refiners avoiding new Russian oil purchases for April delivery, aligning with India's efforts to secure a trade pact with the United States. This shift could impact its sourcing strategy and costs.
Importance 70 Sentiment 10
stock
Bharat Petroleum is among the Indian refiners avoiding new Russian oil purchases for April delivery, a move that supports India's trade negotiations with the United States. This change in procurement could affect its operational costs and supply chain.
Importance 70 Sentiment 10
stock
Reliance Industries is among the Indian refiners that are not accepting offers for Russian oil loading in March and April. This decision is part of a broader strategy to facilitate a trade pact between India and the United States, potentially altering its crude oil sourcing.
Importance 70 Sentiment 10
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