Citrini Research AI Unemployment Report Unsettles Markets
Analysis based on 8 articles · First reported Feb 24, 2026 · Last updated Feb 24, 2026
The Citrini Research report on AI's potential for mass unemployment has unsettled global markets, leading to a significant rotation out of AI-exposed software companies, causing the S&P 500 software and services index to drop over 30%. Conversely, chip-making giants like TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix have seen their shares soar, as investors shift towards the profitable corners of the AI supply chain.
A report by Citrini Research, envisioning a 2028 scenario of mass unemployment due to AI-driven layoffs, has unsettled global markets. The report, authored by Alap Shah, suggests unemployment could rise to 10.2%, leading to mortgage and private-equity loan defaults, and causing U.S. stocks to tank. This has led investors to dump shares of software companies, with the U.S. software shares index down 24% this year. However, chip-making giants like TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix have seen their shares rise significantly, as investors rotate into the AI supply chain. Experts like Nick Ferres of Vantage Point Asset Management and Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research urge a measured response, believing AI will augment productivity rather than cause extinction, while Something Big Is Happening of Otherside AI and Andrea Pignataro of ION Group also weigh in on AI's disruptive potential.
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