UK April GDP Slowdown Forecast
Analysis based on 8 articles · First reported Jun 05, 2026 · Last updated Jun 07, 2026
The United Kingdom>>>'s economy is expected to slow down significantly in April, primarily due to the impact of the Iran war on fuel prices. This will likely lead to decreased consumer spending and investment, negatively affecting various sectors and potentially causing a downward revision of economic growth forecasts for the second quarter.
The United Kingdom>>>'s economy is anticipated to show signs of a significant slowdown in April, following a surprisingly strong start to the year. Official figures from the United Kingdom — Office for National Statistics>>> are expected to reveal a squeeze on households due to surging fuel prices, attributed to the conflict involving Iran>>>. Retail sales in April fell by 1.3%, the fastest rate in almost a year, with motor fuel sales plunging by 10.2%. Economists like Sanjay Rajan>>> of Deutsche Bank>>> and Ellie Henderson>>> of Investec>>> forecast a decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for April, with some attributing March's stronger performance to consumers frontloading purchases in anticipation of price rises. The energy shock is expected to weigh on activity and investment, with domestic political uncertainty also contributing to subdued activity over the summer.
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