United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Tracked across 17 events · 330 articles · First seen May 08, 2025 · Last active May 28, 2026
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Regulatory
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulates prediction markets as 'event contracts' in the U.S., allowing them to bypass state gambling laws. The CFTC's recent clearance for Polymarket to operate in the U.S. and its perceived lack of enforcement are central to the regulatory debate.
Jan 11, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
A series of suspicious, well-timed market bets on falling oil prices, totaling as much as $7 billion, occurred across multiple exchanges and derivatives just before major Iranian policy announcements by United States President Donald Trump.…
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission is actively investigating the suspicious oil trades, focusing on potential insider trading.
Apr 22, 2026 · 31 articles
Business
Payward, the parent company of Kraken, has completed its acquisition of Bitnomial for up to $550 million in cash and stock. This strategic move grants Payward a full suite of United States — United States…
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission is the regulatory body that issued the licenses held by Bitnomial, which are central to Payward's acquisition strategy for expanding its regulated derivatives offerings in the United States.
Apr 17, 2026 · 23 articles
Business
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission initially blocked Kalshi's election contracts, but a federal judge later ruled in Kalshi's favor, allowing regulated US election contracts.
Dec 03, 2025 · 8 articles
Regulatory
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission has jurisdiction over predictions markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, and its chair stated a 'zero tolerance' for fraud and insider trading, despite not commenting on specific allegations.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
International
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved Polymarket's relaunch in the United States and is now under scrutiny regarding its oversight of prediction markets and potential insider trading.
Jan 06, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, has successfully closed a $1 billion Series F funding round, achieving a $22 billion valuation. This valuation roughly doubles its previous Series E valuation from just five months prior. The…
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversees Kalshi's federally regulated exchange, which is a point of contention with state-level regulators regarding jurisdiction.
May 07, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed civil lawsuits against Alex Mashinsky, demonstrating regulatory action against his fraudulent activities.
May 08, 2025 · 10 articles
International
The month-long ceasefire between the United States and Iran has been severely tested by renewed military clashes in the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding areas. The United States military intercepted Iranian attacks on three Navy…
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating $7 billion in oil price trades that occurred before key Iran-related announcements by Donald Trump, indicating potential market manipulation.
May 04, 2026 · 139 articles
Domestic
Impact: The United States — White House also withdrew the nomination of Brian Quintenz to join the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission, indicating a broader review or change in nominations, though this is a secondary detail to the main event.
Sep 30, 2025 · 7 articles
International
Impact: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which oversees US commodity derivatives markets, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Apr 08, 2026 · 28 articles
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United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigating oil tradesUS-Iran Clashes Flare in Hormuz
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United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigating oil tradesUS Probes $7B Oil Insider Trading
Polymarket
regulated
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United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Polymarket operates as a prediction market under the regulatory oversight of the
United States — United States Department of Justice
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United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission
United States — United States Department of Justice
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United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission
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